Surprising 'Yedioth' survey: Moshe Kichlon does not 'steal' mandates from Shas
Yedioth Ahronoth Survey: Kadima is erased • Shas with 13 • Yahadut Hatorah with 6 • Likud weakened - the Left strengthens • Barak's independence with 2 mandates and Ben-Ari passes the threshold
- Sari Roth, B'Chadrei Charedim
- י"ט חשון התשע"ג
A social party headed by Moshe Kichlon will get 13 mandates in the elections, largely on account of the Likud - a survey taken by Yedioth Ahronoth conducted by Dr. Mina Tzemach was published this morning (Friday).
The survey found that Kichlon also takes three mandates from Yesh Atid led by Yair Lapid and two mandates from Avodah led by Yachimovich.
Contrary to what emerges from other surveys, Shas is not compromised and in any case stays with 13 mandates.
What happens with the other parties?
In any case, with or without Kichlon, Kadima is erased and does not pass the threshold.
Likud-Beitenu wins 35 seats without Kichlon. If Kichlon runs alone he will win only 30 mandates.
If Kichlon does not run – Haavodah has 24, Yesh Atid 15, Shas 13, 11 for the Arab parties, Yahadut Hatorah 6, Habayit Hayehudi and Ichud Leumi 5, Meretz 4, Atzmaut-Ehud Barak's party at 2 and Dr. Michael Ben-Ari and Itamar Ben Gvir 2.
If Kichlon enters the race, Haavodah has 22, Kichlon 13, Shas 13, Yesh Atid 12, Arab parties 11, Yahadut Hatorah 6, Habayit Hayehudi 5, Meretz 4, Atzmaut 2 and party by Dr. Michael Ben-Ari 2.
What about the aspect on the masses?
Yedioth argues that in the case that Kichlon establishes a party, without taking into account Atzmaut and Shas – since it is not clear if they belong to the right or the left, the Left - Center win 49 mandates and the Right-wing mass 43 mandates.
If Kichlon does not run, the Left - Center gets 57 mandates and the Right 48.
But what Yedioth forgot to tell is that Kichlon undoubtedly belongs to the Right-wing, and they did not take him into account in terms of masses. In fact, if he runs - the Right will maintain strength dramatically.
The survey found that Kichlon also takes three mandates from Yesh Atid led by Yair Lapid and two mandates from Avodah led by Yachimovich.
Contrary to what emerges from other surveys, Shas is not compromised and in any case stays with 13 mandates.
What happens with the other parties?
In any case, with or without Kichlon, Kadima is erased and does not pass the threshold.
Likud-Beitenu wins 35 seats without Kichlon. If Kichlon runs alone he will win only 30 mandates.
If Kichlon does not run – Haavodah has 24, Yesh Atid 15, Shas 13, 11 for the Arab parties, Yahadut Hatorah 6, Habayit Hayehudi and Ichud Leumi 5, Meretz 4, Atzmaut-Ehud Barak's party at 2 and Dr. Michael Ben-Ari and Itamar Ben Gvir 2.
If Kichlon enters the race, Haavodah has 22, Kichlon 13, Shas 13, Yesh Atid 12, Arab parties 11, Yahadut Hatorah 6, Habayit Hayehudi 5, Meretz 4, Atzmaut 2 and party by Dr. Michael Ben-Ari 2.
What about the aspect on the masses?
Yedioth argues that in the case that Kichlon establishes a party, without taking into account Atzmaut and Shas – since it is not clear if they belong to the right or the left, the Left - Center win 49 mandates and the Right-wing mass 43 mandates.
If Kichlon does not run, the Left - Center gets 57 mandates and the Right 48.
But what Yedioth forgot to tell is that Kichlon undoubtedly belongs to the Right-wing, and they did not take him into account in terms of masses. In fact, if he runs - the Right will maintain strength dramatically.
הוספת תגובה
לכתבה זו טרם התפרסמו תגובות